Canada isWorryingly Fucked.

We are entering a noticeable amount of fucked, with enough persistence to matter beyond a bad headline cycle.

0.0

Worryingly Fucked

Canada severity index

31% confidence

Drivers

What moved Canada

macroeconomic

+7.4

A recession isn’t Canada’s economic problem, it’s years-long ‘stagnation’ previously masked by immigration: Economists

The Hub | More Signal. Less Noise. reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Canada.

about 10 hours ago

current_news

macroeconomic

+6.8

Charles St-Arnaud: Recession or not, Canada's economy doesn't look good

Yahoo Finance reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Canada.

2 days ago

current_news

macroeconomic

+5.6

“Technical Recession” Lessons of 2022 US for 2026 Canada

Econbrowser reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Canada.

about 11 hours ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

current_newsabout 10 hours agomacroeconomicCA

A recession isn’t Canada’s economic problem, it’s years-long ‘stagnation’ previously masked by immigration: Economists

The Hub | More Signal. Less Noise. reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Canada.

74.4

Open source
current_news2 days agomacroeconomicCA

Charles St-Arnaud: Recession or not, Canada's economy doesn't look good

Yahoo Finance reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Canada.

67.8

Open source
current_newsabout 11 hours agomacroeconomicCA, US

“Technical Recession” Lessons of 2022 US for 2026 Canada

Econbrowser reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Canada.

56.2

Open source
current_news2 days agomacroeconomicCA

David Rosenberg: Is Canada back in a recession? Tiff Macklem better be watching either way

Financial Post reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Canada.

49.1

Open source

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Share of overall score 22%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Civil unrest

Share of overall score 14%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Macroeconomic stress

Share of overall score 14%

78.8

Heavy pressure

High confidence

Confidence 90%

Public health

Share of overall score 10%

0.0

Quiet

Solid confidence

Confidence 56%

Natural disasters

Share of overall score 13%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Climate & environment

Share of overall score 10%

6.6

Low

Solid confidence

Confidence 63%

Cyber & infrastructure

Share of overall score 9%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Governance

Share of overall score 8%

28.8

Active

Thin confidence

Confidence 29%

Sparse data

Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Context

What is shaping Canada

  • Macroeconomic stress is currently the hottest live lane.
  • 9 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
  • Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Comparison

Canada versus the global baseline

Canada

21.2

Worryingly Fucked

Global baseline

71.2

Crisis-Level Fucked

Canada currently reads cooler than the global baseline by 50.0 points.

Trend

Score drift

24h

-4.7

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-06-03 03:34 UTC.

7d

-14.6

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-05-28 03:35 UTC.

30d

-0.1

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-05-05 03:34 UTC.

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

0 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: less than a minute ago

Latency: 307 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

operational

1 monitoring point sampled successfully.

Last success: 11 minutes ago

Latency: 420 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: live-ish

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 6 days ago

Latency: 93 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

0 country macro snapshots cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: about 2 months ago

Latency: 104 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

8 classified headline signals captured across 1 successful country.

Last success: less than a minute ago

Latency: 508 ms