Egypt isCatastrophically Fucked.

We are catastrophically fucked right now, while calmer indicators are now reduced to cosmetic resistance.

0.0

Catastrophically Fucked

Egypt severity index

38% confidence

Drivers

What moved Egypt

conflict security

+7.9

Egypt condemns Houthi drone strikes on Saudi crude pipeline infrastructure to Yanbu

Dailynewsegypt reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Egypt.

about 16 hours ago

current_news

conflict security

+7.7

Egypt slams drone attacks targeting Saudi Arabia

وكالة الانباء الاردنية reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Egypt.

about 17 hours ago

current_news

conflict security

+7.7

Egypt condemns drone attacks on Saudi Arabia

Egyptian Gazette reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Egypt.

about 19 hours ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

current_newsabout 16 hours agoconflict securityEG

Egypt condemns Houthi drone strikes on Saudi crude pipeline infrastructure to Yanbu

Dailynewsegypt reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Egypt.

current_newsabout 17 hours agoconflict securityEG, SA

Egypt slams drone attacks targeting Saudi Arabia

وكالة الانباء الاردنية reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Egypt.

current_newsabout 19 hours agoconflict securityEG, SA

Egypt condemns drone attacks on Saudi Arabia

Egyptian Gazette reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Egypt.

openmeteo6 minutes agoclimate environmentEG

Environmental stress near Cairo

Apparent temperature 32.1C, US AQI 228, PM2.5 36.9 ug/m3 near Cairo.

76.4

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Share of overall score 22%

90.0

Critical pressure

Solid confidence

Confidence 58%

Civil unrest

Share of overall score 14%

20.3

Active

Thin confidence

Confidence 29%

Macroeconomic stress

Share of overall score 14%

65.6

Heavy pressure

Solid confidence

Confidence 77%

Public health

Share of overall score 10%

0.0

Quiet

Solid confidence

Confidence 56%

Natural disasters

Share of overall score 13%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Climate & environment

Share of overall score 10%

70.8

Heavy pressure

Solid confidence

Confidence 63%

Cyber & infrastructure

Share of overall score 9%

26.9

Active

Thin confidence

Confidence 29%

Governance

Share of overall score 8%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Sparse data

Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Context

What is shaping Egypt

  • Conflict & security is currently the hottest live lane.
  • 10 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
  • Sustained active-war reporting is materially lifting the country score rather than being treated as a one-off headline spike.

Comparison

Egypt versus the global baseline

Egypt

83.2

Catastrophically Fucked

Global baseline

69.9

Critically Fucked

Egypt currently reads hotter than the global baseline by 13.3 points.

Trend

Score drift

24h

+10.6

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-07-27 03:34 UTC.

7d

+61.5

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-07-21 03:34 UTC.

30d

+25.2

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-06-28 03:35 UTC.

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

0 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: 2 minutes ago

Latency: 1513 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

operational

1 monitoring point sampled successfully.

Last success: 6 minutes ago

Latency: 1659 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: live-ish

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 11 days ago

Latency: 7170 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

1 country macro snapshot cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: 15 days ago

Latency: 1581 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

8 classified headline signals captured across 1 successful country.

Last success: 2 minutes ago

Latency: 1865 ms