Egypt isIntensely Fucked.

The crisis overlap is no longer subtle, while confidence is strong where the data is live and candid where it is not.

0.0

Intensely Fucked

Egypt severity index

39% confidence

Drivers

What moved Egypt

conflict security

+9.2

The Drone Attack on Egypt and the Widening Middle East War

carnegieendowment.org reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Egypt.

about 1 month ago

current_news

conflict security

+8.9

Russia markets drone-like missiles in Egypt during Su-57 jet's Africa air show debut

Reuters reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Egypt.

2 days ago

current_news

macroeconomic

+6.4

Egypt's Inflation Rise: A Growing Economic Concern

Devdiscourse reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Egypt.

1 day ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

current_newsabout 1 month agoconflict securityEG

The Drone Attack on Egypt and the Widening Middle East War

carnegieendowment.org reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Egypt.

92.0

Open source
current_news2 days agoconflict securityEG, RU

Russia markets drone-like missiles in Egypt during Su-57 jet's Africa air show debut

Reuters reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Egypt.

89.3

Open source
current_news1 day agomacroeconomicEG

Egypt's Inflation Rise: A Growing Economic Concern

Devdiscourse reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Egypt.

64.3

Open source
current_news1 day agomacroeconomicEG

Egypt Inflation Turns to Easing Again Despite War Pressures

bloomberg.com reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Egypt.

63.5

Open source

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Share of overall score 22%

74.1

Heavy pressure

Solid confidence

Confidence 58%

Civil unrest

Share of overall score 14%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Macroeconomic stress

Share of overall score 14%

73.1

Heavy pressure

High confidence

Confidence 84%

Public health

Share of overall score 10%

0.0

Quiet

Solid confidence

Confidence 56%

Natural disasters

Share of overall score 13%

4.2

Low

Thin confidence

Confidence 29%

Climate & environment

Share of overall score 10%

27.4

Active

Solid confidence

Confidence 63%

Cyber & infrastructure

Share of overall score 9%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Governance

Share of overall score 8%

24.7

Active

Limited confidence

Confidence 34%

Sparse data

Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Context

What is shaping Egypt

  • Conflict & security is currently the hottest live lane.
  • 11 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
  • Direct active-war reporting is materially lifting the country score even though the live proxy count is still thin.

Comparison

Egypt versus the global baseline

Egypt

63.1

Intensely Fucked

Global baseline

72.1

Crisis-Level Fucked

Egypt currently reads cooler than the global baseline by 9.0 points.

Trend

Score drift

24h

-14.5

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-09-10 03:34 UTC.

7d

+38.6

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-09-04 03:35 UTC.

30d

-5.7

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-08-12 03:34 UTC.

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

1 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: 14 minutes ago

Latency: 1440 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

operational

1 monitoring point sampled successfully.

Last success: 27 minutes ago

Latency: 1668 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: live-ish

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 1 day ago

Latency: 5973 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

1 country macro snapshot cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: 2 months ago

Latency: 1613 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

8 classified headline signals captured across 1 successful country.

Last success: 14 minutes ago

Latency: 1973 ms