Egypt isIntensely Fucked.

The data has reached the part where sober people swear, while confidence is strong where the data is live and candid where it is not.

0.0

Intensely Fucked

Egypt severity index

37% confidence

Drivers

What moved Egypt

climate environment

+7.0

Environmental stress near Cairo

Apparent temperature 19.7C, US AQI 676, PM2.5 48.5 ug/m3 near Cairo.

4 minutes ago

openmeteo

conflict security

+6.0

Is Egypt safe? Latest data on passenger volume sends shockwave despite impact of US-Iran war on aviation

africa.businessinsider.com reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Egypt.

about 2 hours ago

current_news

conflict security

+5.9

Russia's Putin to host Egypt's foreign minister, focus on Iran war and Middle East

Reuters reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Egypt.

about 4 hours ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

openmeteo4 minutes agoclimate environmentEG

Environmental stress near Cairo

Apparent temperature 19.7C, US AQI 676, PM2.5 48.5 ug/m3 near Cairo.

70.0

current_newsabout 2 hours agoconflict securityEG, IR, US

Is Egypt safe? Latest data on passenger volume sends shockwave despite impact of US-Iran war on aviation

africa.businessinsider.com reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Egypt.

59.6

Open source
current_newsabout 4 hours agoconflict securityEG, IR, RU

Russia's Putin to host Egypt's foreign minister, focus on Iran war and Middle East

Reuters reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Egypt.

59.3

Open source
world_bank3 months agomacroeconomicEG

Living costs are pressuring Egypt

inflation 28.3%, unemployment 6.8%, GDP growth 2.4%, fuel imports 17.9% of merchandise imports

55.5

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Weight 22%

81.7

Confidence 58%

Coverage sparse

6 live proxy signals in this window

6 recent war-linked signals are recurring often enough to treat this as sustained active-war stress, even before fuller structured conflict coverage lands.

Civil unrest

Weight 14%

0.0

Confidence 24%

Coverage sparse

0 live proxy signals in this window

Proxy monitoring is live here, but it did not surface a strong enough signal in this window.

Macroeconomic stress

Weight 14%

52.2

Confidence 77%

Coverage measured

3 evidence items in this window

3 evidence items are currently lifting this domain.

Public health

Weight 10%

0.0

Confidence 56%

Coverage measured

0 evidence items in this window

Measured sources are live here, but current stress is limited.

Natural disasters

Weight 13%

0.0

Confidence 24%

Coverage sparse

0 live proxy signals in this window

Proxy monitoring is live here, but it did not surface a strong enough signal in this window.

Climate & environment

Weight 10%

65.4

Confidence 63%

Coverage measured

1 evidence item in this window

1 evidence item is currently lifting this domain.

Cyber & infrastructure

Weight 9%

0.0

Confidence 24%

Coverage sparse

0 live proxy signals in this window

Proxy monitoring is live here, but it did not surface a strong enough signal in this window.

Governance

Weight 8%

0.0

Confidence 24%

Coverage sparse

0 live proxy signals in this window

Proxy monitoring is live here, but it did not surface a strong enough signal in this window.

Sparse data

Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Context

What is shaping Egypt

  • Conflict & security is currently the hottest live lane.
  • 10 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
  • Sustained active-war reporting is materially lifting the country score rather than being treated as a one-off headline spike.
Read methodologyBack to global

Comparison

Egypt versus the global baseline

Egypt

68.3

Intensely Fucked

Global baseline

71.4

Crisis-Level Fucked

Egypt currently reads cooler than the global baseline by 3.1 points.

Trend

Score drift

24h

--

offline

Score history storage is offline. Start Postgres and keep score snapshots running.

7d

--

offline

Score history storage is offline. Start Postgres and keep score snapshots running.

30d

--

offline

Score history storage is offline. Start Postgres and keep score snapshots running.

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

0 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: 1 minute ago

Latency: 1184 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

operational

1 monitoring point sampled successfully.

Last success: 4 minutes ago

Latency: 1353 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: fresh

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 20 days ago

Latency: 2571 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

1 country macro snapshot cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: about 1 month ago

Latency: 1165 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

8 classified headline signals captured across 1 successful country.

Last success: 1 minute ago

Latency: 1596 ms