France isWorryingly Fucked.

This is no longer a background level of trouble, with enough persistence to matter beyond a bad headline cycle.

0.0

Worryingly Fucked

France severity index

33% confidence

Drivers

What moved France

macroeconomic

+7.6

France inflation rises to 2.2% in April, unemployment at highest since 2021 (EWQ:NYSEARCA)

Seeking Alpha reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to France.

22 days ago

current_news

macroeconomic

+6.4

France: inflation is starting to spread but is still sparing consumer goods and services

Etudes Economiques – BNP Paribas reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to France.

29 days ago

current_news

macroeconomic

+4.8

Inflation in the Eurozone and France: the start of a rebound

Etudes Economiques – BNP Paribas reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to France.

2 months ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

current_news22 days agomacroeconomicFR

France inflation rises to 2.2% in April, unemployment at highest since 2021 (EWQ:NYSEARCA)

Seeking Alpha reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to France.

current_news29 days agomacroeconomicFR

France: inflation is starting to spread but is still sparing consumer goods and services

Etudes Economiques – BNP Paribas reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to France.

current_news2 months agomacroeconomicFR

Inflation in the Eurozone and France: the start of a rebound

Etudes Economiques – BNP Paribas reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to France.

current_news4 days agocivil unrestFR

Hundreds arrested and dozens of police injured after Champions League riots in France

BBC reported a recent civil unrest signal connected to France.

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Share of overall score 22%

25.5

Active

Limited confidence

Confidence 34%

Civil unrest

Share of overall score 14%

30.3

Active

Limited confidence

Confidence 34%

Macroeconomic stress

Share of overall score 14%

59.0

Elevated

High confidence

Confidence 84%

Public health

Share of overall score 10%

0.0

Quiet

Solid confidence

Confidence 56%

Natural disasters

Share of overall score 13%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Climate & environment

Share of overall score 10%

6.6

Low

Solid confidence

Confidence 63%

Cyber & infrastructure

Share of overall score 9%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Governance

Share of overall score 8%

13.7

Low

Thin confidence

Confidence 29%

Sparse data

Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Context

What is shaping France

  • Macroeconomic stress is currently the hottest live lane.
  • 10 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
  • Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Comparison

France versus the global baseline

France

23.5

Worryingly Fucked

Global baseline

71.2

Crisis-Level Fucked

France currently reads cooler than the global baseline by 47.7 points.

Trend

Score drift

24h

+2.7

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-06-03 03:34 UTC.

7d

-0.6

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-05-28 03:35 UTC.

30d

+6.3

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-05-05 03:34 UTC.

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

0 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: 8 minutes ago

Latency: 1896 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

operational

1 monitoring point sampled successfully.

Last success: 9 minutes ago

Latency: 2292 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: live-ish

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 6 days ago

Latency: 8508 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

1 country macro snapshot cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: about 2 months ago

Latency: 2007 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

8 classified headline signals captured across 1 successful country.

Last success: 8 minutes ago

Latency: 4304 ms