United Kingdom isMaterially Fucked.

The data suggests a developing mess, without yet tipping into sustained multi-front crisis mode.

0.0

Materially Fucked

United Kingdom severity index

32% confidence

Drivers

What moved United Kingdom

macroeconomic

+7.2

CPI inflation rate in the UK 2026, by sector

Statista reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to United Kingdom.

8 days ago

current_news

macroeconomic

+4.8

Inflation stabilizes in February

FocusEconomics reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to United Kingdom.

10 days ago

current_news

conflict security

+3.8

Trump says US does not need UK’s aircraft carriers for Iran war

Al Jazeera reported a recent conflict security signal connected to United Kingdom.

25 days ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

current_news8 days agomacroeconomicGB

CPI inflation rate in the UK 2026, by sector

Statista reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to United Kingdom.

72.0

Open source
current_news10 days agomacroeconomicGB

Inflation stabilizes in February

FocusEconomics reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to United Kingdom.

48.0

Open source
current_news25 days agoconflict securityIR, GB, US

Trump says US does not need UK’s aircraft carriers for Iran war

Al Jazeera reported a recent conflict security signal connected to United Kingdom.

38.0

Open source
current_news26 days agoconflict securityGB

Trump accuses Starmer of seeking to 'join wars after we've already won'

BBC reported a recent conflict security signal connected to United Kingdom.

38.0

Open source

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Weight 22%

30.5

Confidence 39%

Coverage sparse

3 live proxy signals in this window

3 live proxy signals are contributing here while fuller structured coverage is still being built out.

Civil unrest

Weight 14%

22.1

Confidence 34%

Coverage sparse

2 live proxy signals in this window

2 live proxy signals are contributing here while fuller structured coverage is still being built out.

Macroeconomic stress

Weight 14%

58.7

Confidence 70%

Coverage measured

2 evidence items in this window

2 evidence items are currently lifting this domain.

Public health

Weight 10%

0.0

Confidence 56%

Coverage measured

0 evidence items in this window

Measured sources are live here, but current stress is limited.

Natural disasters

Weight 13%

0.0

Confidence 24%

Coverage sparse

0 live proxy signals in this window

Proxy monitoring is live here, but it did not surface a strong enough signal in this window.

Climate & environment

Weight 10%

6.6

Confidence 63%

Coverage measured

1 evidence item in this window

1 evidence item is currently lifting this domain.

Cyber & infrastructure

Weight 9%

0.0

Confidence 24%

Coverage sparse

0 live proxy signals in this window

Proxy monitoring is live here, but it did not surface a strong enough signal in this window.

Governance

Weight 8%

0.0

Confidence 24%

Coverage sparse

0 live proxy signals in this window

Proxy monitoring is live here, but it did not surface a strong enough signal in this window.

Sparse data

Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Context

What is shaping United Kingdom

  • Macroeconomic stress is currently the hottest live lane.
  • 8 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
  • Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.
Read methodologyBack to global

Comparison

United Kingdom versus the global baseline

United Kingdom

22.7

Materially Fucked

Global baseline

71.4

Crisis-Level Fucked

United Kingdom currently reads cooler than the global baseline by 48.7 points.

Trend

Score drift

24h

--

offline

Score history storage is offline. Start Postgres and keep score snapshots running.

7d

--

offline

Score history storage is offline. Start Postgres and keep score snapshots running.

30d

--

offline

Score history storage is offline. Start Postgres and keep score snapshots running.

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

0 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: less than a minute ago

Latency: 412 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

operational

1 monitoring point sampled successfully.

Last success: 3 minutes ago

Latency: 480 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: fresh

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 20 days ago

Latency: 443 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

0 country macro snapshots cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: about 1 month ago

Latency: 276 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

8 classified headline signals captured across 1 successful country.

Last success: less than a minute ago

Latency: 940 ms