Iran isComprehensively Fucked.

The dashboard is no longer asking for calm interpretation, with multiple serious systems deteriorating inside the same frame.

0.0

Comprehensively Fucked

Iran severity index

39% confidence

Drivers

What moved Iran

conflict security

+9.2

Exclusive | Trump Tells Aides He Won’t Resume All-Out War With Iran Unless U.S. Troops Are Killed

WSJ reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Iran.

about 16 hours ago

current_news

macroeconomic

+7.7

Oil prices fall 3% on report Trump reluctant to restart Iran war

CNBC reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Iran.

about 5 hours ago

current_news

macroeconomic

+7.6

Asia turns to U.S. oil and gas amid Iran war: ‘We get too much into that tree-hugging mode’

Fortune reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Iran.

about 2 hours ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

current_newsabout 16 hours agoconflict securityIR, US

Exclusive | Trump Tells Aides He Won’t Resume All-Out War With Iran Unless U.S. Troops Are Killed

WSJ reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Iran.

current_newsabout 5 hours agomacroeconomicIR

Oil prices fall 3% on report Trump reluctant to restart Iran war

CNBC reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Iran.

current_newsabout 2 hours agomacroeconomicIR, US

Asia turns to U.S. oil and gas amid Iran war: ‘We get too much into that tree-hugging mode’

Fortune reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Iran.

current_newsabout 3 hours agocivil unrestIR

Trump hits back at 'unpatriotic' vote after House rebukes him over Iran

BBC reported a recent civil unrest signal connected to Iran.

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Share of overall score 22%

76.0

Heavy pressure

Solid confidence

Confidence 58%

Civil unrest

Share of overall score 14%

42.2

Elevated

Thin confidence

Confidence 29%

Macroeconomic stress

Share of overall score 14%

75.4

Heavy pressure

Solid confidence

Confidence 77%

Public health

Share of overall score 10%

0.0

Quiet

Solid confidence

Confidence 56%

Natural disasters

Share of overall score 13%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Climate & environment

Share of overall score 10%

33.3

Active

Solid confidence

Confidence 63%

Cyber & infrastructure

Share of overall score 9%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Governance

Share of overall score 8%

40.8

Elevated

Limited confidence

Confidence 44%

Sparse data

Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Context

What is shaping Iran

  • Conflict & security is currently the hottest live lane.
  • 10 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
  • Direct active-war reporting is materially lifting the country score even though the live proxy count is still thin.

Comparison

Iran versus the global baseline

Iran

72.7

Comprehensively Fucked

Global baseline

71.2

Crisis-Level Fucked

Iran currently reads hotter than the global baseline by 1.5 points.

Trend

Score drift

24h

+3.3

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-06-03 03:34 UTC.

7d

+6.8

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-05-28 03:36 UTC.

30d

+7.2

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-05-05 03:34 UTC.

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

0 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: less than a minute ago

Latency: 332 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

operational

1 monitoring point sampled successfully.

Last success: 10 minutes ago

Latency: 3471 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: live-ish

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 6 days ago

Latency: 312 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

1 country macro snapshot cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: about 2 months ago

Latency: 104 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

8 classified headline signals captured across 1 successful country.

Last success: less than a minute ago

Latency: 685 ms