Iran isComprehensively Fucked.

This is what sustained multi-domain crisis looks like, with multiple serious systems deteriorating inside the same frame.

0.0

Comprehensively Fucked

Iran severity index

39% confidence

Drivers

What moved Iran

conflict security

+9.2

Pentagon’s official Iran war death toll no longer lists 4 troops killed during renewed fighting

AP News reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Iran.

1 day ago

current_news

conflict security

+9.2

Mediators see progress in efforts to halt Iran war as drone attacks underscore tensions

PBS reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Iran.

about 20 hours ago

current_news

macroeconomic

+7.6

Oil prices slide as U.S. and Iran pause strikes to give ‘space’ for diplomacy

NBC News reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Iran.

about 15 hours ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

current_news1 day agoconflict securityIR

Pentagon’s official Iran war death toll no longer lists 4 troops killed during renewed fighting

AP News reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Iran.

92.0

Open source
current_newsabout 20 hours agoconflict securityIR

Mediators see progress in efforts to halt Iran war as drone attacks underscore tensions

PBS reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Iran.

92.0

Open source
current_newsabout 15 hours agomacroeconomicIR, US

Oil prices slide as U.S. and Iran pause strikes to give ‘space’ for diplomacy

NBC News reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Iran.

75.6

Open source
world_bank7 months agomacroeconomicIR

Living costs are pressuring Iran

inflation 42.2%, unemployment 8.3%, GDP growth -2.8%, fuel imports 2.0% of merchandise imports

66.2

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Share of overall score 22%

90.0

Critical pressure

Solid confidence

Confidence 58%

Civil unrest

Share of overall score 14%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Macroeconomic stress

Share of overall score 14%

74.4

Heavy pressure

Solid confidence

Confidence 77%

Public health

Share of overall score 10%

0.0

Quiet

Solid confidence

Confidence 56%

Natural disasters

Share of overall score 13%

6.5

Low

Thin confidence

Confidence 29%

Climate & environment

Share of overall score 10%

13.1

Low

Solid confidence

Confidence 63%

Cyber & infrastructure

Share of overall score 9%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Governance

Share of overall score 8%

43.8

Elevated

Limited confidence

Confidence 39%

Sparse data

Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Context

What is shaping Iran

  • Conflict & security is currently the hottest live lane.
  • 11 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
  • Sustained active-war reporting is materially lifting the country score rather than being treated as a one-off headline spike.

Comparison

Iran versus the global baseline

Iran

73.0

Comprehensively Fucked

Global baseline

69.9

Critically Fucked

Iran currently reads hotter than the global baseline by 3.1 points.

Trend

Score drift

24h

+3.3

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-07-27 03:34 UTC.

7d

+6.2

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-07-21 03:34 UTC.

30d

+0.9

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-06-28 03:36 UTC.

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

1 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: 1 minute ago

Latency: 1397 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

operational

1 monitoring point sampled successfully.

Last success: 5 minutes ago

Latency: 1541 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: live-ish

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 11 days ago

Latency: 6987 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

1 country macro snapshot cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: 15 days ago

Latency: 1470 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

8 classified headline signals captured across 1 successful country.

Last success: 1 minute ago

Latency: 3141 ms