Japan isMulti-Front Fucked.

The crisis overlap is no longer subtle, while the remaining quiet zones are not quiet enough to calm the composite.

0.0

Multi-Front Fucked

Japan severity index

40% confidence

Drivers

What moved Japan

conflict security

+7.7

Japan’s 'counterstrike capability' takes shape with missile deployments

The Japan Times reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Japan.

2 days ago

current_news

macroeconomic

+6.4

Japan business mood, inflation expectations rise but Iran war clouds outlook

Reuters reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Japan.

1 day ago

current_news

conflict security

+5.9

Japan's missile move stirs concern

China Daily reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Japan.

about 16 hours ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

current_news2 days agoconflict securityJP

Japan’s 'counterstrike capability' takes shape with missile deployments

The Japan Times reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Japan.

76.6

Open source
current_news1 day agomacroeconomicIR, JP

Japan business mood, inflation expectations rise but Iran war clouds outlook

Reuters reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Japan.

63.5

Open source
current_newsabout 16 hours agoconflict securityCN, JP

Japan's missile move stirs concern

China Daily reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Japan.

59.3

Open source
current_newsabout 19 hours agoconflict securityJP

Japan Deploys New Hypersonic, Anti-ship Missiles

USNI News reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Japan.

58.9

Open source

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Weight 22%

87.5

Confidence 58%

Coverage sparse

6 live proxy signals in this window

6 recent war-linked signals are recurring often enough to treat this as sustained active-war stress, even before fuller structured conflict coverage lands.

Civil unrest

Weight 14%

0.0

Confidence 24%

Coverage sparse

0 live proxy signals in this window

Proxy monitoring is live here, but it did not surface a strong enough signal in this window.

Macroeconomic stress

Weight 14%

53.1

Confidence 77%

Coverage measured

3 evidence items in this window

3 evidence items are currently lifting this domain.

Public health

Weight 10%

0.0

Confidence 56%

Coverage measured

0 evidence items in this window

Measured sources are live here, but current stress is limited.

Natural disasters

Weight 13%

27.4

Confidence 54%

Coverage sparse

15 live proxy signals in this window

15 nearby seismic events are influencing this reading via a focal-city radius sample.

Climate & environment

Weight 10%

6.6

Confidence 63%

Coverage measured

1 evidence item in this window

1 evidence item is currently lifting this domain.

Cyber & infrastructure

Weight 9%

0.0

Confidence 24%

Coverage sparse

0 live proxy signals in this window

Proxy monitoring is live here, but it did not surface a strong enough signal in this window.

Governance

Weight 8%

0.0

Confidence 24%

Coverage sparse

0 live proxy signals in this window

Proxy monitoring is live here, but it did not surface a strong enough signal in this window.

Sparse data

Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Context

What is shaping Japan

  • Conflict & security is currently the hottest live lane.
  • 25 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
  • Sustained active-war reporting is materially lifting the country score rather than being treated as a one-off headline spike.
Read methodologyBack to global

Comparison

Japan versus the global baseline

Japan

64.5

Multi-Front Fucked

Global baseline

71.4

Crisis-Level Fucked

Japan currently reads cooler than the global baseline by 6.9 points.

Trend

Score drift

24h

--

offline

Score history storage is offline. Start Postgres and keep score snapshots running.

7d

--

offline

Score history storage is offline. Start Postgres and keep score snapshots running.

30d

--

offline

Score history storage is offline. Start Postgres and keep score snapshots running.

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

15 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: 6 minutes ago

Latency: 1038 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

operational

1 monitoring point sampled successfully.

Last success: 10 minutes ago

Latency: 1316 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: fresh

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 20 days ago

Latency: 2460 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

1 country macro snapshot cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: about 1 month ago

Latency: 1029 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

8 classified headline signals captured across 1 successful country.

Last success: 6 minutes ago

Latency: 1489 ms