Philippines isLightly Fucked.

This is a contained amount of trouble, though stability is doing less work than it was last week.

0.0

Lightly Fucked

Philippines severity index

33% confidence

Drivers

What moved Philippines

civil unrest

+4.7

Protests in Philippines as President Marcos delivers State of the Nation Address

WION reported a recent civil unrest signal connected to Philippines.

about 18 hours ago

current_news

civil unrest

+4.6

Protest arrests in Philippines mar Marcos address

ucanews.com reported a recent civil unrest signal connected to Philippines.

1 day ago

current_news

civil unrest

+4.5

Philippines Marcos Protest - Journal-News.com

Journal-News.com reported a recent civil unrest signal connected to Philippines.

1 day ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

current_newsabout 18 hours agocivil unrestPH

Protests in Philippines as President Marcos delivers State of the Nation Address

WION reported a recent civil unrest signal connected to Philippines.

current_news1 day agocivil unrestPH

Protest arrests in Philippines mar Marcos address

ucanews.com reported a recent civil unrest signal connected to Philippines.

current_news1 day agocivil unrestPH

Philippines Marcos Protest - Journal-News.com

Journal-News.com reported a recent civil unrest signal connected to Philippines.

current_news18 days agopublic healthPH

Philippines reports bird flu outbreak among backyard birds, WOAH says

Reuters reported a recent public health signal connected to Philippines.

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Share of overall score 22%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Civil unrest

Share of overall score 14%

43.4

Elevated

Limited confidence

Confidence 49%

Macroeconomic stress

Share of overall score 14%

0.0

Quiet

Solid confidence

Confidence 56%

Public health

Share of overall score 10%

33.8

Active

Solid confidence

Confidence 70%

Natural disasters

Share of overall score 13%

23.3

Active

Limited confidence

Confidence 44%

Climate & environment

Share of overall score 10%

15.1

Active

Solid confidence

Confidence 63%

Cyber & infrastructure

Share of overall score 9%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Governance

Share of overall score 8%

13.7

Low

Thin confidence

Confidence 29%

Sparse data

Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Context

What is shaping Philippines

  • Civil unrest is currently the hottest live lane.
  • 13 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
  • Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Comparison

Philippines versus the global baseline

Philippines

14.9

Lightly Fucked

Global baseline

69.9

Critically Fucked

Philippines currently reads cooler than the global baseline by 55.0 points.

Trend

Score drift

24h

-14.7

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-07-27 03:34 UTC.

7d

+0.9

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-07-21 03:34 UTC.

30d

-5.6

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-06-28 03:36 UTC.

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

4 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: 2 minutes ago

Latency: 1335 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

operational

1 monitoring point sampled successfully.

Last success: 6 minutes ago

Latency: 1443 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: live-ish

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 11 days ago

Latency: 6882 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

0 country macro snapshots cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: 15 days ago

Latency: 1414 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

8 classified headline signals captured across 1 successful country.

Last success: 2 minutes ago

Latency: 3831 ms