Philippines isWorryingly Fucked.

Things are leaning in the wrong direction, and the score is being lifted by repeated rather than isolated shocks.

0.0

Worryingly Fucked

Philippines severity index

33% confidence

Drivers

What moved Philippines

macroeconomic

+8.4

Philippines ‘between rock and a hard place’ over surging energy prices

ft.com reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Philippines.

5 days ago

current_news

macroeconomic

+7.1

As oil prices surge, Filipinos feel the impact of a distant conflict

The Christian Science Monitor reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Philippines.

2 days ago

current_news

macroeconomic

+5.5

Critical Communications Review: Philippines Advances Next-Generation 911 Emergency Response System in Southeast Asia

Maritime Fairtrade reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Philippines.

about 7 hours ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

current_news5 days agomacroeconomicPH

Philippines ‘between rock and a hard place’ over surging energy prices

ft.com reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Philippines.

83.7

Open source
current_news2 days agomacroeconomicPH

As oil prices surge, Filipinos feel the impact of a distant conflict

The Christian Science Monitor reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Philippines.

70.8

Open source
current_newsabout 7 hours agomacroeconomicPH

Critical Communications Review: Philippines Advances Next-Generation 911 Emergency Response System in Southeast Asia

Maritime Fairtrade reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Philippines.

54.8

Open source
current_news2 days agoconflict securityCN, IR, PH, US

Opinion | How US war in Iran is pushing Philippines closer to China

South China Morning Post reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Philippines.

51.6

Open source

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Weight 22%

38.6

Confidence 39%

Coverage sparse

3 live proxy signals in this window

3 live proxy signals are contributing here while fuller structured coverage is still being built out.

Civil unrest

Weight 14%

0.0

Confidence 24%

Coverage sparse

0 live proxy signals in this window

Proxy monitoring is live here, but it did not surface a strong enough signal in this window.

Macroeconomic stress

Weight 14%

81.3

Confidence 90%

Coverage measured

5 evidence items in this window

5 evidence items are currently lifting this domain.

Public health

Weight 10%

0.0

Confidence 56%

Coverage measured

0 evidence items in this window

Measured sources are live here, but current stress is limited.

Natural disasters

Weight 13%

0.0

Confidence 24%

Coverage sparse

0 live proxy signals in this window

Proxy monitoring is live here, but it did not surface a strong enough signal in this window.

Climate & environment

Weight 10%

7.1

Confidence 63%

Coverage measured

1 evidence item in this window

1 evidence item is currently lifting this domain.

Cyber & infrastructure

Weight 9%

0.0

Confidence 24%

Coverage sparse

0 live proxy signals in this window

Proxy monitoring is live here, but it did not surface a strong enough signal in this window.

Governance

Weight 8%

0.0

Confidence 24%

Coverage sparse

0 live proxy signals in this window

Proxy monitoring is live here, but it did not surface a strong enough signal in this window.

Sparse data

Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Context

What is shaping Philippines

  • Macroeconomic stress is currently the hottest live lane.
  • 9 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
  • Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.
Read methodologyBack to global

Comparison

Philippines versus the global baseline

Philippines

25.5

Worryingly Fucked

Global baseline

71.4

Crisis-Level Fucked

Philippines currently reads cooler than the global baseline by 45.9 points.

Trend

Score drift

24h

--

offline

Score history storage is offline. Start Postgres and keep score snapshots running.

7d

--

offline

Score history storage is offline. Start Postgres and keep score snapshots running.

30d

--

offline

Score history storage is offline. Start Postgres and keep score snapshots running.

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

0 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: less than a minute ago

Latency: 261 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

operational

1 monitoring point sampled successfully.

Last success: 3 minutes ago

Latency: 104 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: fresh

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 20 days ago

Latency: 58 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

0 country macro snapshots cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: about 1 month ago

Latency: 104 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

8 classified headline signals captured across 1 successful country.

Last success: less than a minute ago

Latency: 32 ms