Russia isLow-Grade Fucked.

Things are wobbling more than collapsing, and the score sees stress without calling it a crisis.

0.0

Low-Grade Fucked

Russia severity index

31% confidence

Drivers

What moved Russia

governance

+5.4

House tees up vote on Russia sanctions bill, but prospects for passage are uncertain - ABC News

ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos reported a recent governance signal connected to Russia.

about 2 hours ago

current_news

governance

+5.4

US House Set To Take Up Russia Sanctions Bill Amid Fight Over Trump Tariff Powers

Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty reported a recent governance signal connected to Russia.

about 3 hours ago

current_news

governance

+5.3

US House to vote on Russia sanctions backed by late Senator Graham

Reuters reported a recent governance signal connected to Russia.

about 3 hours ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

current_newsabout 2 hours agogovernanceRU

House tees up vote on Russia sanctions bill, but prospects for passage are uncertain - ABC News

ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos reported a recent governance signal connected to Russia.

current_newsabout 3 hours agogovernanceRU, US

US House Set To Take Up Russia Sanctions Bill Amid Fight Over Trump Tariff Powers

Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty reported a recent governance signal connected to Russia.

current_newsabout 3 hours agogovernanceRU, US

US House to vote on Russia sanctions backed by late Senator Graham

Reuters reported a recent governance signal connected to Russia.

current_newsabout 4 hours agogovernanceRU, UA

Zelensky urges Trump to impose new Russia sanctions 'now', after deadly Ukraine strikes

France 24 reported a recent governance signal connected to Russia.

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Share of overall score 22%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Civil unrest

Share of overall score 14%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Macroeconomic stress

Share of overall score 14%

36.7

Elevated

Solid confidence

Confidence 70%

Public health

Share of overall score 10%

0.0

Quiet

Solid confidence

Confidence 56%

Natural disasters

Share of overall score 13%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Climate & environment

Share of overall score 10%

6.6

Low

Solid confidence

Confidence 63%

Cyber & infrastructure

Share of overall score 9%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Governance

Share of overall score 8%

51.2

Elevated

Limited confidence

Confidence 54%

Sparse data

Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Context

What is shaping Russia

  • Governance is currently the hottest live lane.
  • 10 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
  • Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Comparison

Russia versus the global baseline

Russia

15.5

Low-Grade Fucked

Global baseline

72.1

Crisis-Level Fucked

Russia currently reads cooler than the global baseline by 56.6 points.

Trend

Score drift

24h

-45.5

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-09-10 03:34 UTC.

7d

-37.4

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-09-04 03:36 UTC.

30d

-42.6

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-08-12 03:34 UTC.

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

0 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: 14 minutes ago

Latency: 1221 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

operational

1 monitoring point sampled successfully.

Last success: 27 minutes ago

Latency: 1450 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: live-ish

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 1 day ago

Latency: 5845 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

1 country macro snapshot cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: 2 months ago

Latency: 1398 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

8 classified headline signals captured across 1 successful country.

Last success: 14 minutes ago

Latency: 3333 ms