United States isClearly Fucked.

The data suggests a developing mess, without yet tipping into sustained multi-front crisis mode.

0.0

Clearly Fucked

United States severity index

33% confidence

Drivers

What moved United States

conflict security

+6.2

Iran War Updates: U.S. Launches New Strikes, as Tensions Escalate Over Strait of Hormuz

The New York Times reported a recent conflict security signal connected to United States.

11 days ago

current_news

natural disaster

+4.9

M 5.0 - 38 km SSE of Spearman, Texas

5 magnitude earthquake near 38 km SSE of Spearman, Texas.

5 days ago

usgs

civil unrest

+4.7

US envoy quits UN Security Council meeting to protest France comments

Yahoo reported a recent civil unrest signal connected to United States.

about 18 hours ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

current_news11 days agoconflict securityIR, US

Iran War Updates: U.S. Launches New Strikes, as Tensions Escalate Over Strait of Hormuz

The New York Times reported a recent conflict security signal connected to United States.

62.0

Open source
usgs5 days agonatural disasterUS

M 5.0 - 38 km SSE of Spearman, Texas

5 magnitude earthquake near 38 km SSE of Spearman, Texas.

49.3

Open source
current_newsabout 18 hours agocivil unrestFR, US

US envoy quits UN Security Council meeting to protest France comments

Yahoo reported a recent civil unrest signal connected to United States.

47.1

Open source
current_newsabout 5 hours agogovernanceFR, US

US walks out on France at UN meeting to protest ally's criticism of America's human rights record - ABC News

ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos reported a recent governance signal connected to United States.

39.2

Open source

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Share of overall score 22%

42.7

Elevated

Thin confidence

Confidence 29%

Civil unrest

Share of overall score 14%

35.3

Elevated

Thin confidence

Confidence 29%

Macroeconomic stress

Share of overall score 14%

0.0

Quiet

Solid confidence

Confidence 56%

Public health

Share of overall score 10%

22.8

Active

Solid confidence

Confidence 63%

Natural disasters

Share of overall score 13%

27.5

Active

Limited confidence

Confidence 44%

Climate & environment

Share of overall score 10%

6.6

Low

Solid confidence

Confidence 63%

Cyber & infrastructure

Share of overall score 9%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Governance

Share of overall score 8%

42.4

Elevated

Limited confidence

Confidence 49%

Sparse data

Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Context

What is shaping United States

  • Conflict & security is currently the hottest live lane.
  • 13 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
  • Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Comparison

United States versus the global baseline

United States

21.0

Clearly Fucked

Global baseline

69.9

Critically Fucked

United States currently reads cooler than the global baseline by 48.9 points.

Trend

Score drift

24h

-11.3

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-07-27 03:34 UTC.

7d

-42.2

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-07-21 03:34 UTC.

30d

-47.0

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-06-28 03:36 UTC.

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

4 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: 4 minutes ago

Latency: 1288 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

operational

1 monitoring point sampled successfully.

Last success: 8 minutes ago

Latency: 1423 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: live-ish

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 11 days ago

Latency: 6802 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

0 country macro snapshots cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: 15 days ago

Latency: 1362 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

8 classified headline signals captured across 1 successful country.

Last success: 4 minutes ago

Latency: 1881 ms