Updated 5 minutes ago

South Africa isOnly Slightly Fucked.

Things are wobbling more than collapsing, without enough cross-domain overlap to call this a full mess.

0.0

Only Slightly Fucked

South Africa severity index

33% confidence

Drivers

What moved South Africa

macroeconomic

+4.8

South Africa inflation surge sets stage for another rate hike

Reuters reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to South Africa.

6 days ago

current_news

civil unrest

+4.7

South Africa anti immigration protests: Death of Nigerian in South Africa Ibeh Chika Simon during police operation cause gbege

BBC reported a recent civil unrest signal connected to South Africa.

about 18 hours ago

current_news

civil unrest

+4.5

South Africa: Driven home by anti-migrant protests

DW.com reported a recent civil unrest signal connected to South Africa.

1 day ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

current_news6 days agomacroeconomicZA

South Africa inflation surge sets stage for another rate hike

Reuters reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to South Africa.

48.0

Open source

current_newsabout 18 hours agocivil unrestZA

South Africa anti immigration protests: Death of Nigerian in South Africa Ibeh Chika Simon during police operation cause gbege

BBC reported a recent civil unrest signal connected to South Africa.

47.0

Open source

current_news1 day agocivil unrestZA

South Africa: Driven home by anti-migrant protests

DW.com reported a recent civil unrest signal connected to South Africa.

44.7

Open source

current_news2 days agocivil unrestZA

Beaten, robbed and driven out: violent demonstrations target immigrants in South Africa

The Guardian reported a recent civil unrest signal connected to South Africa.

36.9

Open source

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Share of overall score 22%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Civil unrest

Share of overall score 14%

42.7

Elevated

Limited confidence

Confidence 49%

Macroeconomic stress

Share of overall score 14%

39.7

Elevated

Solid confidence

Confidence 77%

Public health

Share of overall score 10%

0.0

Quiet

Solid confidence

Confidence 56%

Natural disasters

Share of overall score 13%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Climate & environment

Share of overall score 10%

7.4

Low

Solid confidence

Confidence 63%

Cyber & infrastructure

Share of overall score 9%

0.0

Quiet

Thin confidence

Confidence 24%

Governance

Share of overall score 8%

26.0

Active

Thin confidence

Confidence 29%

Sparse data

Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Context

What is shaping South Africa

Civil unrest is currently the hottest live lane.
10 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Comparison

South Africa versus the global baseline

South Africa

15.1

Only Slightly Fucked

Global baseline

69.9

Critically Fucked

South Africa currently reads cooler than the global baseline by 54.8 points.

Trend

Score drift

24h

-6.8

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-07-27 03:34 UTC.

+2.2

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-07-21 03:34 UTC.

30d

-1.5

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-06-28 03:36 UTC.

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

0 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: 5 minutes ago

Latency: 1268 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

operational

1 monitoring point sampled successfully.

Last success: 9 minutes ago

Latency: 1403 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: live-ish

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 11 days ago

Latency: 6782 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

1 country macro snapshot cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: 15 days ago

Latency: 1352 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

8 classified headline signals captured across 1 successful country.

Last success: 5 minutes ago

Latency: 2947 ms