Indonesia isNoticeably Fucked.

Concern has officially graduated from optional to useful, and the trend line has stopped being politely reassuring.

0.0

Noticeably Fucked

Indonesia severity index

34% confidence

Drivers

What moved Indonesia

macroeconomic

+6.9

BI Says Indonesia Inflation Cools Within Target

jakartaglobe.id reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Indonesia.

about 6 hours ago

current_news

macroeconomic

+6.7

Inflation decelerates in March from February

FocusEconomics reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Indonesia.

about 15 hours ago

current_news

conflict security

+5.4

Indonesia’s B50 Pivot Shows War Is Stoking Global Biofuel Demand

Bloomberg.com reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Indonesia.

1 day ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

current_newsabout 6 hours agomacroeconomicID

BI Says Indonesia Inflation Cools Within Target

jakartaglobe.id reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Indonesia.

69.1

Open source
current_newsabout 15 hours agomacroeconomicID

Inflation decelerates in March from February

FocusEconomics reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Indonesia.

67.5

Open source
current_news1 day agoconflict securityID

Indonesia’s B50 Pivot Shows War Is Stoking Global Biofuel Demand

Bloomberg.com reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Indonesia.

54.2

Open source
current_news2 days agomacroeconomicID, IR, JP

Japan to coordinate on energy with Indonesia as Iran war disrupts supplies

Reuters reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Indonesia.

50.2

Open source

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Weight 22%

40.0

Confidence 29%

Coverage sparse

1 live proxy signal in this window

1 live proxy signal is contributing here while fuller structured coverage is still being built out.

Civil unrest

Weight 14%

0.0

Confidence 24%

Coverage sparse

0 live proxy signals in this window

Proxy monitoring is live here, but it did not surface a strong enough signal in this window.

Macroeconomic stress

Weight 14%

77.7

Confidence 84%

Coverage measured

4 evidence items in this window

4 evidence items are currently lifting this domain.

Public health

Weight 10%

0.0

Confidence 56%

Coverage measured

0 evidence items in this window

Measured sources are live here, but current stress is limited.

Natural disasters

Weight 13%

32.4

Confidence 54%

Coverage sparse

7 live proxy signals in this window

7 nearby seismic events are influencing this reading via a focal-city radius sample.

Climate & environment

Weight 10%

7.7

Confidence 63%

Coverage measured

1 evidence item in this window

1 evidence item is currently lifting this domain.

Cyber & infrastructure

Weight 9%

0.0

Confidence 24%

Coverage sparse

0 live proxy signals in this window

Proxy monitoring is live here, but it did not surface a strong enough signal in this window.

Governance

Weight 8%

0.0

Confidence 24%

Coverage sparse

0 live proxy signals in this window

Proxy monitoring is live here, but it did not surface a strong enough signal in this window.

Sparse data

Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.

Context

What is shaping Indonesia

  • Macroeconomic stress is currently the hottest live lane.
  • 13 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
  • Country coverage is thinner than the global read because some lanes still rely on proxy matching or focal-city sampling instead of fully local structured feeds.
Read methodologyBack to global

Comparison

Indonesia versus the global baseline

Indonesia

29.3

Noticeably Fucked

Global baseline

71.4

Crisis-Level Fucked

Indonesia currently reads cooler than the global baseline by 42.1 points.

Trend

Score drift

24h

--

offline

Score history storage is offline. Start Postgres and keep score snapshots running.

7d

--

offline

Score history storage is offline. Start Postgres and keep score snapshots running.

30d

--

offline

Score history storage is offline. Start Postgres and keep score snapshots running.

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

5 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: less than a minute ago

Latency: 323 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

operational

1 monitoring point sampled successfully.

Last success: 3 minutes ago

Latency: 432 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: fresh

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 20 days ago

Latency: 161 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

0 country macro snapshots cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: about 1 month ago

Latency: 224 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

8 classified headline signals captured across 1 successful country.

Last success: less than a minute ago

Latency: 97 ms