We'reCrisis-Level Fucked.

Reality is currently outperforming satire, with repeated severe events preventing any real cooling-off period.

0.0

Crisis-Level Fucked

Live global severity index

56% confidence

Drivers

What moved the meter

public health

+9.6

Ebola disease caused by Bundibugyo virus - Democratic Republic of the Congo

Since the last Disease Outbreak News was published on 14 August 2026, the outbreak has spread from 54 to 60 health zones. The number of affected provinces stands at six out of 26 provinces of the country: Bas-Uélé, Haut-Uélé, Ituri, North Kivu, South Kivu, and Tshopo. Six additional health zones reported cases since the last update - Ganga and Viadana health zones in Bas-Uélé province, Biena, Manguredjipa, and Mutwanga in North Kivu, and Tshopo health zone in Tshopo province. As of 26 August 2026, a total of 5794 confirmed cases, including 2786 deaths, have been reported, corresponding to a crude case fatality ratio (CFR) of 48.1%. These figures demonstrate a substantial increase in the scale and geographic extent of the outbreak over the past three months. The crude case fatality ratio of 48% underscores the severity of the disease and ongoing challenges related to timely case detection, access to and quality of clinical care, and effective interruption of viral transmission. Delays in recognizing cases increase the likelihood of onward transmission within households, communities and healthcare facilities. The outbreak remains a public health emergency of international concern, following the advice of Emergency Committee meeting convened on 18 August.

14 days ago

who_don

macroeconomic

+9.2

Watch Trump Tariffs: Canada Trade Can Help US Cool Inflation, Poilievre Says

bloomberg.com reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Canada.

about 9 hours ago

current_news

macroeconomic

+9.2

Rising energy costs lift China's producer, consumer inflation in August

Reuters reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to China.

3 days ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

who_don14 days agopublic healthCG

Ebola disease caused by Bundibugyo virus - Democratic Republic of the Congo

Since the last Disease Outbreak News was published on 14 August 2026, the outbreak has spread from 54 to 60 health zones. The number of affected provinces stands at six out of 26 provinces of the country: Bas-Uélé, Haut-Uélé, Ituri, North Kivu, South Kivu, and Tshopo. Six additional health zones reported cases since the last update - Ganga and Viadana health zones in Bas-Uélé province, Biena, Manguredjipa, and Mutwanga in North Kivu, and Tshopo health zone in Tshopo province. As of 26 August 2026, a total of 5794 confirmed cases, including 2786 deaths, have been reported, corresponding to a crude case fatality ratio (CFR) of 48.1%. These figures demonstrate a substantial increase in the scale and geographic extent of the outbreak over the past three months. The crude case fatality ratio of 48% underscores the severity of the disease and ongoing challenges related to timely case detection, access to and quality of clinical care, and effective interruption of viral transmission. Delays in recognizing cases increase the likelihood of onward transmission within households, communities and healthcare facilities. The outbreak remains a public health emergency of international concern, following the advice of Emergency Committee meeting convened on 18 August.

current_newsabout 9 hours agomacroeconomicCA, US

Watch Trump Tariffs: Canada Trade Can Help US Cool Inflation, Poilievre Says

bloomberg.com reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to Canada.

current_news3 days agomacroeconomicCN

Rising energy costs lift China's producer, consumer inflation in August

Reuters reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to China.

current_news3 days agomacroeconomicCN

China’s inflation rebounds on higher tech and energy prices

ing think reported a recent macroeconomic signal connected to China.

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Share of overall score 22%

64.8

Heavy pressure

Limited confidence

Confidence 54%

Civil unrest

Share of overall score 14%

45.4

Elevated

Limited confidence

Confidence 54%

Macroeconomic stress

Share of overall score 14%

86.9

Critical pressure

High confidence

Confidence 90%

Public health

Share of overall score 10%

87.6

Critical pressure

High confidence

Confidence 90%

Natural disasters

Share of overall score 13%

57.9

Elevated

High confidence

Confidence 90%

Climate & environment

Share of overall score 10%

39.8

Elevated

High confidence

Confidence 90%

Cyber & infrastructure

Share of overall score 9%

40.8

Elevated

Limited confidence

Confidence 54%

Governance

Share of overall score 8%

46.3

Elevated

Limited confidence

Confidence 54%

Context

What is holding this reading up

  • Public health is currently the hottest live lane.
  • 299 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
  • Live inputs now include USGS Earthquake Catalog, Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality, WHO Disease Outbreak News, World Bank macro indicators, Current news signal.

Trend

Score drift

24h

+1.8

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-09-10 03:34 UTC.

7d

+0.3

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-09-04 03:34 UTC.

30d

+2.9

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-08-12 03:34 UTC.

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

80 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: 14 minutes ago

Latency: 1993 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

operational

22 monitoring points sampled successfully.

Last success: 27 minutes ago

Latency: 1600 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: live-ish

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 1 day ago

Latency: 6386 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

13 country macro snapshots cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: 2 months ago

Latency: 1928 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

172 classified headline signals captured across 22 successful countries.

Last success: 14 minutes ago

Latency: 4297 ms