Updated 1 minute ago

We'reCritically Fucked.

The crisis overlap is no longer subtle, while confidence is strong where the data is live and candid where it is not.

0.0

Critically Fucked

Live global severity index

56% confidence

Drivers

What moved the meter

conflict security

+9.2

Israel says Iran launched missiles at it in the first such bombardment since fragile ceasefire took effect in April

ABC7 Bay Area reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Israel.

about 2 months ago

current_news

conflict security

+9.2

Pentagon’s official Iran war death toll no longer lists 4 troops killed during renewed fighting

AP News reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Iran.

1 day ago

current_news

conflict security

+9.2

Mediators see progress in efforts to halt Iran war as drone attacks underscore tensions

PBS reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Iran.

about 20 hours ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

current_newsabout 2 months agoconflict securityIR, IL

Israel says Iran launched missiles at it in the first such bombardment since fragile ceasefire took effect in April

ABC7 Bay Area reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Israel.

92.0

Open source

current_news1 day agoconflict securityIR

Pentagon’s official Iran war death toll no longer lists 4 troops killed during renewed fighting

AP News reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Iran.

92.0

Open source

current_newsabout 20 hours agoconflict securityIR

Mediators see progress in efforts to halt Iran war as drone attacks underscore tensions

PBS reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Iran.

92.0

Open source

current_newsabout 3 hours agoconflict securityRU, UA

‘We Did Not Start Any War’: Putin Again Denies Russia’s Responsibility for Ukraine Invasion

Kyiv Post reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Russia.

92.0

Open source

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Share of overall score 22%

62.3

Heavy pressure

Limited confidence

Confidence 54%

Civil unrest

Share of overall score 14%

45.4

Elevated

Limited confidence

Confidence 54%

Macroeconomic stress

Share of overall score 14%

79.5

Heavy pressure

High confidence

Confidence 90%

Public health

Share of overall score 10%

82.5

Critical pressure

High confidence

Confidence 90%

Natural disasters

Share of overall score 13%

63.2

Heavy pressure

High confidence

Confidence 90%

Climate & environment

Share of overall score 10%

37.4

Elevated

High confidence

Confidence 90%

Cyber & infrastructure

Share of overall score 9%

31.7

Active

Limited confidence

Confidence 54%

Governance

Share of overall score 8%

44.0

Elevated

Limited confidence

Confidence 54%

Context

What is holding this reading up

Public health is currently the hottest live lane.
295 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
Live inputs now include USGS Earthquake Catalog, Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality, WHO Disease Outbreak News, World Bank macro indicators, Current news signal.

Trend

Score drift

24h

-0.4

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-07-27 03:34 UTC.

+0.2

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-07-21 03:34 UTC.

30d

-3.8

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-06-28 03:34 UTC.

Rankings

Most and least fucked tracked countries

Most fucked

Tracked top 5

Egypt

Catastrophically Fucked

83.2

+13.3 vs global

Iran

Comprehensively Fucked

73.0

+3.1 vs global

Ukraine

Intensely Fucked

63.2

-6.7 vs global

South Korea

Exceptionally Fucked

59.8

-10.1 vs global

Russia

Exceptionally Fucked

57.6

-12.3 vs global

Least fucked

Tracked bottom 5

Philippines

Lightly Fucked

14.9

-55.0 vs global

South Africa

Only Slightly Fucked

15.1

-54.8 vs global

Brazil

Manageably Fucked

17.3

-52.6 vs global

United States

Clearly Fucked

21.0

-48.9 vs global

France

Worryingly Fucked

22.2

-47.7 vs global

Rankings

Most and least fucked tracked countries

Most fucked

Tracked top 5

Egypt

Catastrophically Fucked

83.2

+13.3 vs global

Iran

Comprehensively Fucked

73.0

+3.1 vs global

Ukraine

Intensely Fucked

63.2

-6.7 vs global

South Korea

Exceptionally Fucked

59.8

-10.1 vs global

Russia

Exceptionally Fucked

57.6

-12.3 vs global

Least fucked

Tracked bottom 5

Philippines

Lightly Fucked

14.9

-55.0 vs global

South Africa

Only Slightly Fucked

15.1

-54.8 vs global

Brazil

Manageably Fucked

17.3

-52.6 vs global

United States

Clearly Fucked

21.0

-48.9 vs global

France

Worryingly Fucked

22.2

-47.7 vs global

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

80 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: 2 minutes ago

Latency: 1919 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

degraded

5 monitoring points failed during refresh.

Last success: 5 minutes ago

Latency: 1827 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: live-ish

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 11 days ago

Latency: 7354 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

13 country macro snapshots cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: 15 days ago

Latency: 1863 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

173 classified headline signals captured across 22 successful countries.

Last success: 1 minute ago

Latency: 4868 ms